📌 May Day Crypto Survival Guide: Bitcoin at $75,000 — Hold or Fold? The holiday is here. You're probably on the couch already, snack in one hand, phone in the other, wondering whether to shuffle your positions. The market isn't taking a break — but maybe your trading should. --- 1. Don't Touch Anything Yet — $7.9 Billion in Options Expires Today At 4:00 PM Beijing time on May 1, roughly $7.9 billion in notional BTC options will expire on Deribit. This isn't holiday gossip — it's a genuine short-term risk event. As expiry approaches, market makers exert a gravitational pull on price. The max pain point sits nowhere near current levels, meaning BTC could see violent, technically inexplicable swings in the hour or two around expiry. Holiday Rule #1: Avoid high leverage around 4:00 PM today. You're on vacation. The market isn't. Don't let an options expiry wipe out your stop losses while you're away from the screen. --- 2. Hold or Sell? Follow the Trend CoinGlass data shows Bitcoin trapped between $75,000 and $80,000, with dense order book support on both sides. This isn't panic-driven freefall — it's capital waiting. Waiting for what? The Clarity Act in May. SEC Chair Paul Atkins made it clear at Bitcoin 2026: the bill could see a breakthrough this month, and the SEC will roll out an "Innovation Exemption" within weeks — the first real regulatory pathway for on-chain tokenized securities. Historically, every ETF or regulatory breakthrough has emerged during pre-holiday market lulls. Will this time be different? If you're holding spot BTC with no leverage and a cost basis below $75,000 — short-term volatility isn't your enemy. Overtrading is. If you're underwater, ask yourself: did I buy too high, or leverage too much?